Churchill Downs · Thursday, November 13, 2025 · Race 6 of 10

Claiming

turf, firmOne And One Sixteenth MilesPurse $83,0006 ranPost 2025-11-13 15:28:00Final time 1:41.46Pool $157,804

Good for all

Result

FinPPHorseJockey / Trainerstart1/41/23/4stretchfinishMarginOddsFig
17Big to Do
in hand,cleared upper
Irad Ortiz, Jr.111111—3.9864A
E1 106 · LP 110
23Mission Improbable
saved grnd,edged place
Axel Concepcion355632319.2076A
E1 100 · LP 111
31Aspenite
ins,vied place btw,mss
Tyler Gaffalione2333233½2.6995A
E1 103 · LP 109
45Factor Analysis
tght,3w,ran on,mss shw
Luis Saez6664443½1.4114A
E1 100 · LP 109
58Villain
stalk 2w,faded btw upr
Jose Ortiz52225594.9653A
E1 104 · LP 105
66Mackadoo
2wd,btwn 2nd,tired
Adam Beschizza44456612¼8.1665A
E1 102 · LP 104

How the race unfolded (position at each call; hover a line to follow one runner)

123456start1/41/23/4stretchfinish3Mission Improbable1Aspenite5Factor Analysis8Villain6Mackadoo7Big to Do

Fractional times

Call 123.79
Call 248.08
Call 31:11.67
Call 41:35.35
Final1:41.46

Payouts

BetWinning numbersPaidPool
win ($2)7$9.96—
place ($2)7$5.48—
show ($2)7$3.38—
exacta ($2)7-3$132.74$85,406
place ($2)3$11.84—
show ($2)3$3.98—
trifecta ($0.50)7-3-1$114.84$43,361
show ($2)1$3.40—
superfecta ($0.10)7-3-1-5$53.84$23,469
daily double ($1)9-7$38.05$19,389
Pick 3 ($0.50)9-7-7$15.92$24,496
Pick 3 ($0.50)9-9-7$105.92$0

Chart notes

BIG TO DO showed the way along the inside, remained well in hand around the far turn, shook clear in upper stretch was driven home. MISSION IMPROBABLE saved ground off of the pace, sustained a rail charge to bid for place in the final furlong and edged that position late. ASPENITE stalked along the inside, chased the clear leader while moving to the two path in upper stretch, vied for place between bidders into the final sixteenth then missed that position while saving show at the wire. FACTOR ANALYSIS was subtly put to tight quarters between horses at the start, laid off of the pace three wide, shifted four wide into upper stretch, ran on while hanging on his left lead, changed leads and bid for place at the sixteenth pole, battled with an inner pair for that position late but missed show. VILLAIN stalked two wide while applying light pressure outside of the eventual winner around both turns, then faded three wide and between horses in upper stretch. MACKADOO pursued two wide, then between horses around the far turn and tired.